Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.078483 0.087979 0.097827 0.108774 0.120578 0.132893 0.146687
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.061976 0.075801 0.091006 0.108844 0.129070 0.151168 0.177009
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.049684 0.065982 0.084905 0.108187 0.135745 0.167015 0.204863
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.043833 0.062475 0.085127 0.114094 0.149556 0.190977 0.242414
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.039473 0.059979 0.085927 0.120230 0.163431 0.215106 0.280614
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.033801 0.054899 0.082720 0.120735 0.169946 0.230153 0.307966
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.028047 0.048873 0.077537 0.118030 0.171882 0.239219 0.327858
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.025659 0.047277 0.078041 0.122609 0.183084 0.259917 0.362404
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.023177 0.045189 0.077571 0.125655 0.192170 0.277959 0.393820
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.020712 0.042790 0.076376 0.127470 0.199480 0.293705 0.422461
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.018272 0.040099 0.074462 0.128028 0.204923 0.306966 0.447989
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.018023 0.041070 0.078127 0.136745 0.221823 0.335663 0.494035
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.015608 0.038079 0.075594 0.136485 0.226551 0.348786 0.520762
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.013868 0.036095 0.074528 0.138384 0.234453 0.366481 0.554072
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.011999 0.033579 0.072354 0.138418 0.239605 0.380498 0.582737
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.011542 0.033830 0.074855 0.145840 0.255755 0.410010 0.632783
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.011127 0.034101 0.077369 0.153329 0.272141 0.440098 0.684017
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.009800 0.032169 0.075780 0.154010 0.278203 0.455633 0.715403
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008152 0.029186 0.071997 0.150820 0.278188 0.462440 0.734766
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.007704 0.028994 0.073382 0.156294 0.291566 0.488574 0.781237
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.007092 0.028283 0.073703 0.159926 0.302124 0.510769 0.822463
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.006390 0.027206 0.073207 0.162088 0.310374 0.529699 0.859306
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.005626 0.025798 0.071914 0.162752 0.316211 0.545137 0.891366